Tuesday, January 20, 2026
Tuesday, January 20, 2026
Home NewsRates Down, Capex Explodes: The Global Economy Just Changed the Rules

Rates Down, Capex Explodes: The Global Economy Just Changed the Rules

by Owen Radner
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News is arriving in waves, and every signal from the markets seems to underline one thing: we’re living in an era where monetary policy, Big Tech, and the capital-spending race are intertwined into a single formula for growth. At YourNewsClub, we observe that while the U.S. Federal Reserve loosened its parameters, the level of uncertainty remains unchanged. Big Tech is announcing record revenues but simultaneously ramping up investment appetite. On the horizon is a meeting between Trump and Xi, one that could shape the contours of global trade and technology for years to come.

The Federal Reserve cut its key rate by 25 basis points, bringing the range to 3.75–4%. While markets anticipated the move, the response was muted: Chair Jerome Powell dampened expectations right away by stating that a further cut in December is not a foregone conclusion. Following his remarks, equities slid and the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasurys climbed once again above 4%. We at YourNewsClub interpret this as a subtle but crucial signal: U.S. monetary policy is entering a regime of “step-by-step navigation,” where each subsequent move will hinge on inflation stability and demand dynamics, rather than market expectations.

Meanwhile, tech giants continue to deliver stunning results. Alphabet, Meta, and Microsoft all beat Wall Street forecasts, reinforcing the thesis that AI is no longer hype – it’s a driving engine of corporate growth. Alphabet’s quarterly revenue exceeded $100 billion for the first time, Meta keeps turning AI investment into ecosystem products, and Microsoft is seeing unprecedented demand for cloud services and model infrastructure. Interface systems analyst Maya Renn observes: “The AI race isn’t about who builds the smartest model. It’s about who builds the system of access to compute and data.”

The real story, however, is capital expenditure. Alphabet raised its forecast to $91–93 billion for the year and announced plans for a significant CAPEX expansion in 2026. Meta lifted its lower bound for CAPEX to $70 billion. Microsoft reported Q1 infrastructure investment of $34.9 billion – well above July’s $30 billion estimate. We at YourNewsClub view this as a strategic pivot: Big Tech is investing in the foundation of the global digital economy – compute power, data centers, optical networks, energy-intensive clusters. Infrastructure analyst Owen Radner puts it clearly: “Today, capital expenditures are the creation of new highways of computational energy. Whoever builds them will map digital influence for decades to come.”

Markets are showing mixed signals: the S&P 500 is flat, the Dow Jones is down, and the Nasdaq is up amid AI optimism. Nvidia has crossed the $5 trillion market-cap threshold – an achievement once deemed unthinkable. The phenomenon epitomizes the new financial reality: capital flows where compute grows.

The political dimension remains ever-present. The upcoming Trump–Xi meeting stirs hope but leaves many details unclear. Discussions may touch on tariffs, technology export controls, and supply-chain realignment – any of which could shift the trajectory of global capital.

At Your News Club, we believe this moment marks more than a macroeconomic event – it heralds a phase transition. Monetary policy is no longer the sole market driver; it is now the backdrop for which compute rules. We’re entering an era where the value of capital and the cost of compute become two variables in one equation. Our recommendations: investors should focus less on interest rates and more on how those rates impact infrastructure margins; companies must shift attention from growth alone to CAPEX payback and energy efficiency; governments must recognize that today’s tariff talks are really talks about digital sovereignty.

And while we await the outcome of the U.S.–China summit, we might take a breath – but not a break. The world no longer reacts to headlines – it moves through them.

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